http://www.sunbeltsports.org/documents/2017/3/3//3_4_Saturday_Scenarios_ALL.pdf



IF GEORGIA SOUTHERN WINS at GEORGIA STATE
AND TEXAS STATE WINS at ULM
AND...... Appalachian State wins, South Alabama wins, Little Rock wins, UTA wins
#1–UTA
#2 – Georgia Southern
#3 – Texas State
o TexasState wins the multiple-team tiebreaker vs.ArkansasState and GeorgiaState. The teams all are tied with .500 records against each other. TXST wins the tiebreaker based on a .500 record vs. #1 UTA.
#4 – Arkansas State o Arkansas State wins the two-team tiebreaker vs. Georgia State based on a head-to-head win

I believe it really comes down to a TXST win and a ASU loss.

That combination should give us a tie-breaker to lock down a top 4 bye.

Essentially.

There are 17 combinations of games today that could involve a TXST win and an AState loss, we would get into the top 4 in 16 of those 17 combinations.

The only combination we could still finish outside the top 4 if we win and AState loses is if App beats Coastal, Troy beats Little Rock, and Louisiana beats UTA.

Also, if Arkansas State wins we can still get it ONLY if App beats Coastal, Little Rock beats Troy, and Louisiana beats UTA. Any other combination with an AState win we won't get it.

We could finish anywhere from 3rd to 7th still. We just need to take care of business and beat ULM. Unfortunately we blew our shot to control our own destiny on Thursday,

USA helps us out by beating ASU with buzzer beater, so I believe we get a bye as 4th seed.

If ULL women lose, women should get 4th seed as well.